Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No98%
Kirk LaPointe2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread4%
ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kirk LaPointe wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may resolve early using designated media consensus, while Polymarket uses credible-reporting consensus and, if unresolved by June 30, 2027, resolves to "Other"; Polymarket also expressly excludes temporary or interim mayors. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event being measured.
  • Kalshithis market

    Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    If Kirk LaPointe wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 09:57 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

    34 holders · 4 comments · read Sep 21, 07:29 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC