Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No100%
Kareem Allam0%

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Spread4%
ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kareem Allam wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may resolve early after designated media sources reach consensus, while Polymarket uses credible reporting and, if ambiguous, official Vancouver information, with a June 30, 2027 fallback deadline. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event being priced.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

    104 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 27, 05:04 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

    If Kareem Allam wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 08:21 PM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC