PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC

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24h volume$52.6

7d volume$669

30d volume$1.5K

Liquidity$12.2K

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 18, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves based primarily on credible reporting, with Vancouver’s official information used for ambiguity and a June 30, 2027 fallback; Kalshi may resolve early after designated media sources declare a winner. Polymarket’s outcomes are Yes/No, while Kalshi labels the positive outcome “Colleen Hardwick” rather than “Yes.”

Polymarketthis market
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
44 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 27, 03:03 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
If Colleen Hardwick wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 07:28 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$500	—	—	Open
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	67% Yes	$236.8	—	—	Open
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$164.3	—	—	Open
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	74% No	$146.4	—	—	Open
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$59.2	—	—	Open
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$36.1	—	—	Open
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	96% No	$20.4	—	—	Open
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$20	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders44

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 99% · best ask 100%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296648559247704896345296269227570677146450120067156589927481187648673369423868163
InterestingUser89769310711474760533294537071154855786894917447221789743554779027918597781074
Drangtian89769310711474760533294537071154855786894917447221789743554779027918597781074
peepeepooppoop89769310711474760533294537071154855786894917447221789743554779027918597781074
LornaPredicts89769310711474760533294537071154855786894917447221789743554779027918597781074

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$51.13 days ago
BUY100%$463 days ago
BUY100%$263 days ago
SELL0%$03 days ago
BUY100%$122.93 days ago
BUY100%$110.43 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

InterestingUser · 7 days ago
Mayor Pete!
buoys · 2 months ago
I can't believe there were 10,000 Kareem Allam no shares just sitting there at 50c for god knows how many weeks lmao
ethereal.punk · 4 months ago
Canada is done for
sherwoodgone · 4 months ago
stephanie allen should get added
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
no way ken sim wins

As of Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC