Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 67% Yes | Open |
| Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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5 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- InterestingUser · 7 days ago
Mayor Pete!
- buoys · 2 months ago
I can't believe there were 10,000 Kareem Allam no shares just sitting there at 50c for god knows how many weeks lmao
- ethereal.punk · 4 months ago
Canada is done for
- sherwoodgone · 4 months ago
stephanie allen should get added
- moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
no way ken sim wins
As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC