PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:13 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$12.2K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 18, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves according to credible reporting/official Vancouver information, with a fallback deadline of June 30, 2027; Kalshi may resolve early after designated media consensus. Their listed settlement times also differ, but this does not alter the event being measured.

Polymarketthis market
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
43 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 29, 08:16 PM UTC
KalshiOpen →
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
If Sean Orr wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 08:44 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$500	—	—	Open
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	67% Yes	$236.8	—	—	Open
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$164.3	—	—	Open
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	74% No	$146.4	—	—	Open
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$59.2	—	—	Open
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$52.6	—	—	Open
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$36.1	—	—	Open
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	96% No	$20.4	—	—	Open
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$20	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 hour ago

Holders43

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 100% · best ask 100%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129662078179734614398344046629585864031379220908079508657932768589504546124107643
moneymaker2555250911016773637907503451689730410882595282732598649757892146244267780207014
Drangtian55250911016773637907503451689730410882595282732598649757892146244267780207014
Zypf755250911016773637907503451689730410882595282732598649757892146244267780207014
peepeepooppoop55250911016773637907503451689730410882595282732598649757892146244267780207014

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$8yesterday
SELL0%$0.12 days ago
BUY100%$36.12 days ago
BUY100%$79.92 days ago
BUY100%$49.92 days ago
BUY100%$102 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

InterestingUser · 7 days ago
Mayor Pete!
buoys · 2 months ago
I can't believe there were 10,000 Kareem Allam no shares just sitting there at 50c for god knows how many weeks lmao
ethereal.punk · 4 months ago
Canada is done for
sherwoodgone · 4 months ago
stephanie allen should get added
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
no way ken sim wins

As of Sep 29, 09:23 PM UTC