PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes65%

No35%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:45 PM UTC

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24h volume$236.8

7d volume$2.5K

30d volume$6.3K

Liquidity$21.9K

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 18, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may resolve early after a designated-media consensus and lists October 17, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, while Polymarket lists October 18, 2026 at 03:59 UTC and adds a June 30, 2027 fallback if the result remains unknown. Both primarily use credible-media consensus, with Polymarket expressly referencing official Vancouver information for ambiguity.

KalshiOpen →
Vancouver mayoral election winner?: Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
If Pete Fry wins the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 11:42 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
91 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 28, 10:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$500	—	—	Open
Will Kirk LaPointe win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$164.3	—	—	Open
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	72% No	$146.4	—	—	Open
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	99% No	$59.2	—	—	Open
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$52.6	—	—	Open
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$36.1	—	—	Open
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	96% No	$20.4	—	—	Open
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Polymarket	100% No	$20	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders91

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 32% · best ask 32%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296652793018551371387590549600652329983042992956556881061855860375144938187752051
InterestingUser90282073970311127511205771444554273792281500981661699146096274090779625493121
yukonboi52793018551371387590549600652329983042992956556881061855860375144938187752051
4ty90282073970311127511205771444554273792281500981661699146096274090779625493121
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd90282073970311127511205771444554273792281500981661699146096274090779625493121

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL32%$28.6yesterday
SELL68%$109.2yesterday
BUY68%$5yesterday
BUY68%$52 days ago
BUY32%$3.22 days ago
BUY32%$162 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

InterestingUser · 7 days ago
Mayor Pete!
buoys · 2 months ago
I can't believe there were 10,000 Kareem Allam no shares just sitting there at 50c for god knows how many weeks lmao
ethereal.punk · 4 months ago
Canada is done for
sherwoodgone · 4 months ago
stephanie allen should get added
moneymaker25 · 6 months ago
no way ken sim wins

As of Sep 29, 11:47 PM UTC