Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$7.9K
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both specify the same market-close date and resolution method: a consensus of credible reporting; no material resolution difference is published.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    42 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 05:40 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 30, 12:13 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders42
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296659361854220948094489816572180418432746773958557056918915913926634790433008221
  • acal47773879307230167315733605695098520403046993452258715450924903862663798904520
  • e46m347773879307230167315733605695098520403046993452258715450924903862663798904520
  • donthackme47773879307230167315733605695098520403046993452258715450924903862663798904520
  • balthazar47773879307230167315733605695098520403046993452258715450924903862663798904520

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • SELL100%$84.8last month

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As of Sep 30, 06:04 AM UTC