PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 02:05 AM UTC

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24h volume$220

7d volume$447.9

30d volume$9.9K

Liquidity$6.5K

Spread0%

ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a September 30, 2026 resolution timestamp while PredictFun does not publish one. Both specify consensus of credible reporting as the source.

Polymarketthis market
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
185 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 04:59 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:13 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$2.2K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$296.2	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$104.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders185

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 1%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296663134512742160053890531256241217242259050446404261649535958855341021690750662
SteveTheFish58255742710354753372638105507395301856276470581760095695579319734210276720718
e46m363134512742160053890531256241217242259050446404261649535958855341021690750662
shovelingdigging58255742710354753372638105507395301856276470581760095695579319734210276720718
acal58255742710354753372638105507395301856276470581760095695579319734210276720718

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$7.16 days ago
BUY100%$5.16 days ago
BUY100%$56 days ago
BUY100%$166 days ago
BUY100%$15.16 days ago
SELL1%$2.17 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 02:47 AM UTC