PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:46 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$3.9K

Spread0%

ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 20 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in published settlement timing: Polymarket lists September 30, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, while PredictFun lists no resolvesAt value. Both use a consensus of credible reporting, and no material criteria difference is published.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:12 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
43 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 05:43 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$2.2K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$296.2	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$220	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$104.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 10 hours ago

Holders43

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966106337235493798928027947027813300759531479522154165178895379455750411806944566
e46m3114042401248946466774768998952157587960186998070992821745026187331239332963389
donthackme114042401248946466774768998952157587960186998070992821745026187331239332963389
balthazar114042401248946466774768998952157587960186998070992821745026187331239332963389
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing114042401248946466774768998952157587960186998070992821745026187331239332963389

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY0%$1.93 days ago
SELL100%$9.522 days ago
SELL100%$9.522 days ago
BUY100%$13.4last month
BUY100%$34last month
BUY100%$30last month

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 04:09 AM UTC