PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC

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24h volume$104.3

7d volume$290.1

30d volume$8K

Liquidity$11.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesSep 30, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a September 30, 2026 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not publish one. Both specify consensus of credible reporting as the source.

Polymarketthis market
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
69 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 02:24 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 29, 06:39 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$728.2	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$378.6	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$220	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders69

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296639870825300081847594752862520763029814918513617270556220018457060274255813920
acal55280273017462604050110364006593514037065825484513723750243853675453069122185
e46m355280273017462604050110364006593514037065825484513723750243853675453069122185
planktonXD55280273017462604050110364006593514037065825484513723750243853675453069122185
LornaPredicts55280273017462604050110364006593514037065825484513723750243853675453069122185

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$66.56 days ago
SELL0%$08 days ago
SELL0%$09 days ago
BUY100%$9.611 days ago
BUY100%$37.711 days ago
BUY100%$16.511 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 11:29 PM UTC