Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes100%
No0%

Price checked at

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24h volume$2.2K
7d volume$12.4K
30d volume$41.7K
Liquidity$8.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues list different administrative resolution times: PredictFun does not specify one, while Polymarket specifies 2026-09-30 23:59 UTC. Their published substantive resolution criteria otherwise do not differ materially.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    239 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 04:30 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

    This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Sep 30, 12:06 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders239
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 2%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296620996090728873274434296226665321277996953030699455021360452272152950378645870
  • 0xbbbaa753ad90bdb3e0069db451ae4e02d7c7d60f69436436951640881186918962093978129047876125081246052069821867405322712154087
  • 38741100741561181409221789738720996090728873274434296226665321277996953030699455021360452272152950378645870
  • JAMJAMJAM469436436951640881186918962093978129047876125081246052069821867405322712154087
  • DLM00169436436951640881186918962093978129047876125081246052069821867405322712154087

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL97%$2.34 days ago
  • BUY99%$21.65 days ago
  • BUY99%$1245 days ago
  • BUY99%$1075 days ago
  • BUY99%$1225 days ago
  • BUY99%$1215 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 02:47 AM UTC