PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:17 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$6.1K

Spread0%

ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria and source language are identical; Polymarket lists a September 30, 2026 23:59 UTC resolution time, while PredictFun lists no separate resolution timestamp. This timing metadata does not change the underlying question.

PredictFunOpen →
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:16 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
41 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 05:44 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$2.2K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$296.2	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$220	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$104.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 13 hours ago

Holders41

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296631034525002942945699052902252049057580631163089568002899726126265361527932392
e46m3105335893123504550751323949018404532264699727008305066012320693363761409115846
donthackme105335893123504550751323949018404532264699727008305066012320693363761409115846
balthazar105335893123504550751323949018404532264699727008305066012320693363761409115846
Lucerys105335893123504550751323949018404532264699727008305066012320693363761409115846

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY0%$0.114 days ago
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Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 06:28 AM UTC