LimitlessOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Ted Cruz

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

4 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Opinion resolve at 2028-11-07, while Limitless resolves at 2028-11-08 04:59 UTC; PredictFun publishes no resolution time. The resolution source and cancellation/replacement rule are otherwise materially identical.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
496 holders · 441 comments · read Sep 26, 12:49 PM UTC
Limitlessthis market
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Ted Cruz
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
8 holders · read Sep 29, 08:36 PM UTC
OpinionOpen →
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Ted Cruz
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: J.D. Vance	Limitless	76% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Donald Trump Jr.	Limitless	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Donald Trump	Limitless	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Ron DeSantis	Limitless	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Tucker Carlson	Limitless	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Marco Rubio	Limitless	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Other	Limitless	60% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

Holders8

Held value$630.5

Trades (24h)—

Trades10

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 3%

Top holders

0xa5Ef39C3D3e10d0B270233af41CaC69796B12966No$477.1
0x2eeF6a6baC8254454485D6F8917478eF7653c38BNo$86.1
0xB1A36bE1Ed2F36bcC3B138CAD10366A6b5d550A8No$61.9
0x0DFB682a08aaA6B7E9Ac097bbd7a516BC362cC67Yes$3.5
0xc8A8c7074f97Ea8284C6c2FcED363046133FE508Yes$1

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

—1%$0.63 days ago
—98%$121 days ago
—99%$121 days ago
—2%$1last month
—100%$222 months ago
—100%$102 months ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:29 PM UTC