Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No—
Yes—

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Opinion resolve at 2028-11-07, while Limitless resolves at 2028-11-08 04:59 UTC; PredictFun publishes no resolution time. The resolution source and cancellation/replacement rule are otherwise materially identical.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    496 holders · 441 comments · read Sep 26, 12:49 PM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Ted Cruz

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    8 holders · read Sep 29, 08:36 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Ted Cruz

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:18 PM UTC