Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The same question elsewhere
3 venues carry it- LimitlessOpen →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...: December 31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2 holders · read Oct 2, 11:25 AM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
8.5K holders · 1.7K comments · read Oct 1, 05:01 PM UTC
- OpinionOpen →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Oct 2, 01:30 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 21 hours agoBest bid 3% · best ask 3%
Top holders
- Scaly-Tracksuit7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392
- world-changer7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392
- ShayaEredyon107505882767731489358349912513945399560393482969656700824895970500493757150417
- celestat3123107505882767731489358349912513945399560393482969656700824895970500493757150417
- SecondWindCapital7305630249804085635496399869905769372294302716159034447326228509068694952392
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL97%$15.421 hours ago
- BUY97%$34021 hours ago
- BUY3%$121 hours ago
- SELL3%$421 hours ago
- BUY97%$122 hours ago
- BUY97%$325.224 hours ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
1,603 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- dfry55hjhj · 21 hours ago
Official confirmation is doing the heavy lifting
- Furyhound · 21 hours ago
yeah, I"m also in that mindset. I KNOW they exist. you just said go all in a few days before september. so I thought you meant to save the september bet. Fingers crossed you are right. our big advantage is Trump has very few cards up his sleeve as nov elections are closing in on him. if he reveals e.t's, it can be a big win for him. unfortunately, the e.t's themselves were talking more about an announcement in 2027. which confuses me cause earlier I thought they meant disclosure is THIS year (why I went so deep in) and arrival next year.
- angelsdemons · 2 days ago
David Grusch on Joe Rogan now
- MattWalker · 2 days ago
Gentlemen, it was an honor! 🤝 o7 I do not regret a single cent, reds. At the end of December, I'll explain to you why. By then, even if you’ve won, your hair will stand on end in hindsight. 👽😱 Congratulations to the reds— you bastards turned out to have diamond hands. 💎👐🔴 Green colleagues, I don't think having paper hands suits us at all, but unfortunately, all the paper hands turned out to be green. 🧻👐🟢 Shame on us. 🤔🙃
- Stelthman · 3 days ago
I remain skeptical of the annual hype.
- fuxy · 4 days ago
me rn
- angelsdemons · 4 days ago
Oval Office Announcement at 2 pm ET on Monday
- dfhtrf76r5tsdf · 5 days ago
My tinfoil hat wants better reception
- Lerra · 5 days ago
The universe owes us a clearer photograph👽️
- WhaleWatch-58614 · 6 days ago
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 spent $156,636.92 on December 31 outcome No. Profit so far: $28,223.56. That position is printing money right now.
- WhaleWatch-14549 · 6 days ago
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 spent $156,636.92 on December 31 outcome No. Profit so far: $28,223.56. That position is printing money right now.
- conormurphy · 6 days ago
- angelsdemons · 6 days ago
Sen. John Kennedy (R-Louisiana) said on Fox News that the people running Iran are reptiles. There you go disclosure.
- angelsdemons · 6 days ago
yes but with PURSUE, they provided "extraterrestrial terrestrial things"
- fuxy · 6 days ago
that's from may
- fuxy · 6 days ago
so my belief is that there is no question about the existence of aliens and ufo. for me , the real question is : will trump have a press conference before midterms ?
- angelsdemons · 6 days ago
UFO has its own TAB, even more real than Navy, Airforce, Marines and Army on Department of War website
- angelsdemons · 6 days ago
Trump said: “We're releasing a lot of information having to do with extraterrestrial terrestrial things…”
- CossackBOY · 6 days ago
I'm waiting for something beyond blurry footage.
- TexasOx · 6 days ago
Bashar approves of this message
As of Oct 2, 01:39 PM UTC