OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No91%

Yes19%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:33 AM UTC

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24h volume$7

7d volume$7

30d volume—

Liquidity—

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ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket have the same stated resolution time of January 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; Opinion lists December 31, 2026 00:00 UTC as its market resolution time, but its criteria use the same December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET deadline. The published substantive resolution criteria are otherwise materially identical.

LimitlessOpen →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...: December 31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2 holders · read Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
8.5K holders · 1.7K comments · read Sep 27, 02:06 AM UTC
Opinionthis market
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 30, 01:20 AM UTC

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Best bid 93% · best ask —

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As of Sep 30, 01:24 AM UTC