Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The same question elsewhere
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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
read Sep 29, 07:21 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
144 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 03:48 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | Polymarket | 91% Yes | Open |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | Polymarket | 64% Yes | Open |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | Polymarket | 71% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoBest bid 25% · best ask 25%
Top holders
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly74921524632803398583613673988913422705359421231729013939477939186930662435210
- HDGB108315584853799729838614333748063377472256875592940383916811669252949563879956
- InterestingUser108315584853799729838614333748063377472256875592940383916811669252949563879956
- chefradish108315584853799729838614333748063377472256875592940383916811669252949563879956
- Bikesarethebest74921524632803398583613673988913422705359421231729013939477939186930662435210
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Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC