Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

1%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$0From 0 of 1 venue

Total volume$10.6KFrom 0 of 1 venue

Liquidity$2.2K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	0.6¢	16,667	$16,667	+$16,567 167×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in AI