Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25?

17%Yes
10 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. <882%12
  2. 8-11 · this question17%10
  3. 12-152%2
  4. 16-191%2
  5. 20+1%0
24h volume$53
Total volume$1.5K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 26, 2026in 23 hours
First seenOct 16, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Down 9 points on Oct 18Up 18 points on Oct 21Down 16 points on Oct 23Up 15 points on Oct 24
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket18¢556$556+$456 5.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 04:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.