Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between October 19-October 25?

2%Yes
3 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. <883%24
  2. 8-1115%20
  3. 12-15 · this question2%3
  4. 16-191%4
  5. 20+1%0
24h volume$85
Total volume$458
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow
First seenOct 16, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.9¢3,448$3,448+$3,348 34.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 01:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.