Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026? Above 6000
52%Above 6000
1 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$303
Total volume$266.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- KalshiWill there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026? Above 600052% Above 6000$303 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
More in Science
- 1Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?9%Yes2 pts
- 2Hurricane Fay category?: Will Fay become a Category 2 hurricane? Category 2 or above2%Category 2 or above1 pts
- 3Hurricane Nolo category?: Will Nolo become a Category 5 hurricane? Category 5 or above4%Category 5 or above7 pts
- 4What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?: Will Fay be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?2%Fay2 pts
- 5IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?4%Yes1 pts
As of Sep 29, 07:30 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.