Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? Above 205

27%Above 205

—over 24h

The field · 11 outcomes

24h volume$500

Total volume$500

Liquidity$3.8K

Open interest$500

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 9 days

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	28¢	357	$357	+$257 3.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? Above 205
73% No$500 24h volume
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Will there be more than 205 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? Above 205

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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