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Economy

Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?

73%Yes
↑4 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. No Change · this question73%↑4
  2. 25 bps increase17%↓6
  3. 50+ bps increase5%→0
  4. 50+ bps decrease4%→0
  5. 25 bps decrease2%→0
24h volume$900
Total volume$2.4K
Liquidity$747
Open interest—
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 4, 2027in 3 months
First seenOct 30, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 10:28 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.07B24h vol:$289.4MQuestions:355,639Resolving today:2,143Venues:15
Fear & Greed57 · GreedLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29, 11:21 PMOct 30, 06:40 PMOct 31, 02:00 PMNov 1, 09:20 AM

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket73¢137$137+$36.99 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket
    Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the February meeting?
    73% Yes$900 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Economy

View category →
  1. 1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
    2%Yes→0 pts
  2. 2Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
    73%Yes→0 pts
  3. 3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
    28%Yes↓1 pts
  4. 4Fed Decision in December: 25 bps Increase
    71%Yes→0 pts
  5. 5US gas prices on Election Day: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.05? Above 4.05
    96%Above 4.05↓2 pts
PxPredxy

Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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