Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

17%Yes

6 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$285

Total volume$534

Liquidity$1.3K

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 4, 2027in 3 months

First seenOct 30, 2026

Watching0

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	18¢	556	$556	+$456 5.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
84% No$285 24h volume
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Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Economy

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy