Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Raphinha

90%Raphinha

41 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 28 outcomes

24h volume$6From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$418From 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$19.8KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest$7From 1 of 2 venues

Markets22 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

First seenOct 27, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	25¢	400	$400	+$300 4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Raphinha win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
91% Nono volume published
Resolution rules
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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Raphinha
90% Raphinha$6 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Raphinha

Probability history

If you’re right

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Sports