Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
60%Yes
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 8 outcomes
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$1.5M
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best payout | 60¢ | 167 | $167 | +$66.67 1.7× |
| 99.9¢ | 100 | $100 | +$0.10 1× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?60% Yesno volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?60% Yes$1.1K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Markets
- 1Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?: Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?3%Above $2000000 pts
- 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 202670%Yes0 pts
- 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic81%Yes1 pts
- 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 202681%Yes4 pts
- 5Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?7%Yes0 pts
As of Oct 25, 03:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.