Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes60%
No41%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Published resolution criteria are materially the same: both use the largest company by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close, with consensus credible reporting as the source. One venue additionally specifies a resolvesAt timestamp; the other does not.
  • Predict.funthis market

    Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

    This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Oct 22, 01:26 PM UTC

  • Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

    This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    1.7K holders · 0 comments · read Oct 15, 08:09 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 06:08 AM UTC