PolymarketOpen

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes79%

No21%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:37 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$9.1K

7d volume$33.2K

30d volume$182K

Liquidity$110K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$5K	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$2.2K	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	85% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$578.3	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	95% No	$574.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders1.5K

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 24% · best ask 25%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966114033095271617070714983865791504478906266507670567428753203001241312040895286
Vivacious-Sediment11876606915924142133615854761923277060697657209957870741155164849437788272266
Cptrade11876606915924142133615854761923277060697657209957870741155164849437788272266
Hauchn114033095271617070714983865791504478906266507670567428753203001241312040895286
InterestingUser114033095271617070714983865791504478906266507670567428753203001241312040895286

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY76%$118 days ago
BUY76%$19.98 days ago
BUY25%$1.98 days ago
SELL75%$6.98 days ago
BUY76%$308 days ago
BUY76%$152.48 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 01:43 AM UTC