PolymarketOpen
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No95%
Yes6%
Price checked at
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$945.3
7d volume$13.8K
30d volume$82.4K
Liquidity$134.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 79% Yes | Open |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoHolders588
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Best bid 94% · best ask 95%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296654398790535896757998414933803834478150495648270732685658889540342278545164806
- BMM-162009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747
- Past-Power62009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747
- SteveTheFish62009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747
- deah1262009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL5%$14 days ago
- SELL5%$14 days ago
- SELL5%$34 days ago
- SELL5%$354 days ago
- BUY94%$1.8K4 days ago
- BUY95%$1144 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 11:01 PM UTC