Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
39%Yes
5 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 8 outcomes
24h volume$16.3K
Total volume$1.3M
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 39.1¢ | 256 | $256 | +$156 2.6× |
| 99.7¢ | 100 | $100 | +$0.30 1× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?61% No$16.3K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?62% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 12:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.