Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No63%
Yes37%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a resolve time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z; PredictFun does not publish a resolvesAt value. Their published resolution criteria are materially the same, using the largest company by market cap on December 31, 2026 as of market close with consensus credible reporting.
  • Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

    This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    498 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 24, 10:14 AM UTC

  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

    This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

    read Oct 22, 01:29 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 02:45 PM UTC