Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
52%Yes
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?52% Yesno volume publishedResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Sep 29, 11:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.