Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

52%Yes
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Sep 29, 11:04 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.