Will Michael Jackson have a #1 hit this year?

10%Michael Jackson

—over 24h

The field · 115 outcomes

24h volume$50

Total volume$50

Liquidity$0

Open interest$50

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 26, 2026in 2 months

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	51¢	196	$196	+$96.08 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Michael Jackson have a #1 hit this year?
90% No$50 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:48 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.