KalshiOpen

Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Michael Jackson have a #1 hit this year?

No90%

Michael Jackson10%

Price checked at Nov 1, 12:47 PM UTC

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24h volume$50

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$0

Spread74%

ResolvesDec 26, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Michael Jackson has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Beyoncé have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	92% No	$228	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will SZA have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	94% No	$186	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will J Balvin have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$164	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	75% No	$147	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will KAROL G have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	93% No	$101	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	90% No	$93	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	88% No	$88	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Tate McRae have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	83% No	$72	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Zach Bryan have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$61	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	90% No	$30	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will USHER have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Young Thug have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will The Marías have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Khalid have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Addison Rae have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$25	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will SIENNA SPIRO have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	96% No	$23	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will KATSEYE have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$20	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Rihanna have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	94% No	$7	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Mariah Carey have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	95% Mariah Carey	$5	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	97% No	$5	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Chappell Roan have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	86% No	$5	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Geese have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Polo G have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Logic have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will have a #1 hit this year?: Will Ice Spice have a #1 hit this year?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 01:18 PM UTC