Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office? Pete Hegseth

51%Pete Hegseth

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$57

Total volume$6.9K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$2.6K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

First seenSep 29, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	53¢	189	$189	+$88.68 1.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office? Pete Hegseth
51% Pete Hegseth$57 24h volume
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Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Secretary of Defense be the first to leave office? Pete Hegseth

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics