Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office? Kash Patel

27%Kash Patel

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$18

Total volume$7.6K

Liquidity—

Open interest$3.1K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

First seenSep 29, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	26¢	385	$385	+$285 3.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office? Kash Patel
73% No$18 24h volume
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Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?: Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office? Kash Patel

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics