Which ballot measures will pass in California?: Will Proposition 41 pass?

42%Proposition 41

9 ptsover 24h

The field · 13 outcomes

24h volume$80

Total volume$970

Liquidity—

Open interest$549

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	50¢	200	$200	+$100 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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Which ballot measures will pass in California?: Will Proposition 41 pass?
58% No$80 24h volume
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Which ballot measures will pass in California?: Will Proposition 41 pass?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics