When will the Knesset approve a new government?: Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

13%Before Jan 1, 2027

—over 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$200

Total volume$200

Liquidity$0

Open interest$200

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 4 months

First seenNov 1, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	21¢	476	$476	+$376 4.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

When will the Knesset approve a new government?: Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?
87% No$200 24h volume
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When will the Knesset approve a new government?: Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics