When will P vs NP be resolved?: Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040?

49%Before 2040

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$100

Liquidity—

Open interest$79

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 7, 2032in 5 years

First seenSep 13, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	52¢	192	$192	+$92.31 1.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

When will P vs NP be resolved?: Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040?
51% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
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When will P vs NP be resolved?: Will P vs NP be resolved before 2040?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Science