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Science

When will P vs NP be resolved?: Will P vs NP be resolved before 2027?

2%Before 2027
↓2 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

  1. Before 203593%→0
  2. Before 204049%↑1
  3. Before 203029%→0
  4. Before 202925%→0
  5. Before 202816%→0
  6. Before 2027 · this question2%↓2
24h volume$38
Total volume$324
Liquidity—
Open interest$251
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 7, 2032in 5 years
First seenSep 13, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 12:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.05B24h vol:$267.6MQuestions:360,135Resolving today:2,446Venues:15
Fear & Greed~53 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 13Sep 25Oct 7Oct 20Nov 1

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi5¢2,000$2,000+$1,900 20×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Kalshi
    When will P vs NP be resolved?: Will P vs NP be resolved before 2027?
    98% No$38 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

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Market prices are not certainties.

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