US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?

24%Below $260 billion

2 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$3

Total volume$589

Liquidity—

Open interest$454

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesFeb 11, 2027in 3 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	24¢	417	$417	+$317 4.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?
76% No$3 24h volume
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US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy