KalshiOpen

US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?

No55%

Below $260 billion45%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:39 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread8%

ResolvesFeb 11, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $260 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?	Kalshi	80% Below $280 billion	$0	—	—	Open
US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?	Kalshi	93% Below $300 billion	$0	—	—	Open
US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $240 billion?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
US imports of goods from China in 2026: Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 05:42 AM UTC