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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18): Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 190

Result

Settled on Oct 21, 2026. Markets gave it 54% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

2%Above 190

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$7.4K

Total volume$27K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 20, 202613 days ago

First seenOct 10, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

stale
Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 190
98% No$7.4K 24h volume
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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18): Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 190

Probability history

Where this question trades

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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