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World🇷🇺Russia🇺🇦UkraineRussiaUkraine

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by: Nov 30

69%Yes
↓7 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. Dec 3181%↓1
  2. Nov 30 · this question69%↓7
24h volume$474 trades
Total volume$2.9K
Liquidity$75
Open interest$305
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 30 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 09:32 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.1B24h vol:$321.2MQuestions:393,758Resolving today:2,048Venues:15
Fear & Greed~57 · GreedLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Pascal · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 9Oct 17Oct 24Nov 1Down 13 points on Oct 10Down 13 points on Oct 16Up 11 points on Oct 19Up 9 points on Oct 20Up 27 points on Oct 21
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Pascal. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Pascal69.1¢145$145+$44.72 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Pascal
    Russia-Ukraine peace talks by: Nov 30
    68% Yes$47 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in World

View category →
  1. 1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
    12%Yes→0 pts
  2. 2Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    5%Yes↓1 pts
  3. 3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
    94%Yes↑5 pts
  4. 4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
    97%Yes↑2 pts
  5. 5Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    17%Yes↓1 pts
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Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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