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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 4

Result

Settled on Oct 21, 2026. Markets gave it 80% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%Above 4

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$6.1K

Total volume$19.2K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 20, 202613 days ago

First seenOct 10, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 4
99% Above 4$6.1K 24h volume
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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 4

Probability history

Where this question trades

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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