Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 23, 2026?

37%Yes

13 ptsover 24h

ResolvesNov 24, 2026 · in 13 days

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$1.8K22 trades

Total volume$1.8K

Liquidity$412

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 23, 2026?
64% No$1.8K 24h volumeResolution rules
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If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	51¢	196	$196	+$96.08 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:07 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 23, 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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