Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by December 7, 2026?

80%Yes

27 ptsover 24h

ResolvesDec 8, 2026 · in 27 days

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$1.1K23 trades

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity$2.9K

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by December 7, 2026?
80% Yes$1.1K 24h volumeResolution rules
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If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	89¢	112	$112	+$12.36 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:06 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by December 7, 2026?

Probability history

Where this question trades

If you’re right

Probability history

Where this question trades

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