Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?

6%Yes

10 ptsover 24h

ResolvesJan 1, 2027 · in 2 months

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$2.7K21 trades

Total volume$6.1K

Liquidity$12.3K

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 3, 2026
Watching: 0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

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Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?
95% No$2.7K 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	6¢	1,667	$1,667	+$1,567 16.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 11:07 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?

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