Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?

56%Yes

25 ptsover 24h

ResolvesJan 1, 2027 · in 2 months

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$2K20 trades

Total volume$9K

Liquidity$978

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 3, 2026
Watching: 0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?
56% Yes$2K 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	65¢	154	$154	+$53.85 1.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 10:20 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Newsom's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?

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