National Book Award for Fiction: Will Paradiso 17 win Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards?

11%Paradiso 17

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$9

Liquidity—

Open interest$9

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 18 days

First seenSep 23, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	88¢	114	$114	+$13.64 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

National Book Award for Fiction: Will Paradiso 17 win Fiction at the 77th National Book Awards?
89% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

More in Culture

View category

As of Nov 1, 10:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.